VOL. —
♜ · ♞ · ♝
MONTE CARLO EDITION
FIDE Candidates
A broadsheet of simulated futures — one million tournaments, recomputed at every round.
vltanh/candidates-monte-carlo
1 Win Probability Timeline
Click a tab above to see predictions entering that round. The dashed rule marks the selected round. Click a player chip to show or hide them.
2 Standings
3 Game Predictions Round
4 Rank Distribution
Probability of finishing in each rank position. Click a rank column to sort by that rank. Hover a cell for the exact value.
5 Expected Final Score Timeline
Expected total points (out of 14), computed via simulation at each checkpoint.
1 Title Race
2 Scenario Explorer
Appendices
Player Information
Tip
Click any player row below to open that player's recent game history (limited to the months leading up to the tournament).
| Player | FIDE ID | Classical | Rapid | Blitz |
Pareto Front
Multi-objective optimisation over 2022 + 2024 Candidates data.
★ marks the best trial by utopia distance. Highlighted points are Pareto-optimal.
Best Hyperparameters